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Good luck....

Make sure you're in a good place, she's not a big storm but it looks like she's going to have a little punch.
 

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dont worry im sure you'll be able to outrun it if it gets close enough to you...especially with that little toy you have....;)

For real, Good luck and Be Safe!
 

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At this time Emily is a very dangerous storm. I don't think it's forecast to weaken substantially before landfall in Mexico.

Be sure to take all necessary precautions and take any advisories seriously... and of course, God bless!

J

Code:
000
WTNT35 KNHC 170000
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005
 
...RAINBANDS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE EMILY
SPREADING OVER JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR ALL OF THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN
COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PROGRESO...
INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE ISLAS MUJERES.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST
OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER.  

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA
LATER THIS EVENING.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN... AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO... SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.5 WEST OR ABOUT  140 MILES...
230 KM... SOUTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA AND ABOUT 195 MILES...
315 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.
 
EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH... 30 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL BE MOVING AWAY
FROM JAMAICA TONIGHT AND WILL BE NEAR GRAND CAYMAN TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY MORNING.
 
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 155 MPH... 250 KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  EMILY IS A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
EXPECTED... AND EMILY COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE AT
TIMES... DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM... FROM
THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
150 MILES... 240 KM.  FOR JAMAICA... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD
STILL OCCUR TONIGHT IN GUSTS IN RAINBANDS ALONG THE COASTS... WITH
POSSIBLE SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...
ESPECIALLY ABOVE ABOUT 3000 FEET.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 929 MB...27.43 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES... ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH COASTS OF JAMAICA AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
EMILY COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES OVER
JAMAICA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS... WITH SOME 1 TO 3 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
CUBA.  RAINS WILL BE INCREASING OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA ON SUNDAY WITH STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
POSSIBLE... AND LOCAL MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...17.1 N... 79.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...155 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 929 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
$$
 

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On the current projected track it will remain south of Corpus Christi...they will no doubt get rain, but not the hurricane force winds.
 

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Discussion Starter #8
doodaa said:
she's not a big storm but it looks like she's going to have a little punch.

:eek: this is a huge storm... its creeping back and forth to a CAT5!!!

scary thing is that its moving slooow and its HOT.... the two best ways to make a hurricane bigger!!!

when the mainland is hot... it attracts them. usually they end up going north and skimming us.... but the heat clearly indicates how its heading more at us now. Yesturday it was going more north... but now shes coming towards us again.

this could really bad.... if she comes as forecasted the eye will go right through us!!!

last big hurricane in cancun was like 6 years ago... not even this big..... hotels in the lobbys had sand about 10 feet high... big hotels, like the Ritz Carlton....

My brother and our office is right in front of the water..... im downtown.... but if this thing hits a CAT5 it could be really bad.... oh mama.... :(

im hoping she gets pushed up north as usual... hope its not hot tomorrow...
 

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Break out the air conditioners then! :p jk use the AWD on your car and go swimming!
 

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Discussion Starter #10
;).
 

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If you're into spaghetti maps:

 

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What are they, all the different methods they use to try and predict the path?
 

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If it is heading your way, pack up and run! After doing 2 catagory 2 hurricanes last year and a catagory 4/5 last century (andrew) get out of town!
There is nothing even close to the destructive power of a cat 4/5 hurricane. We've only spent the last 9 months putting our house back together after
francis and jeanne.
 

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AWD, sorry to hear that you live in the path of this beast. Good luck man. I watched the news earlier and they said there was a slim chance that this storm could come towards Houston. If it does im out of here.
 

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Discussion Starter #17
looks like its coming.... just watched fox new on sky and they put out the warning to cancun and cozumel. looks like its going right through cozumel. it will be VERY destructive there.... i lived there for 4 years... left this dec. the bad thing about cozumel is that they close the airports and stop the ferries... if your there your stuck on the island.

yesturday 30k americans evaquated cancun, and 40k are expected to leave today...

i was thinking of just driving the heck out of here..... but im going to trust the house construction.... our house is made of solid bricks and cement..... one of the bathrooms has about 3 brick walls surrounding it with no windows.... streets are crazy right now... no more water, cookies, cans anywhere..... gas stations have mssive lines...

ok im out gotta go to the office and bros house to unplug things etc. he left to SD two days ago....

:cool:
 

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Discussion Starter #19
tbirdbrain said:
If it is heading your way, pack up and run! After doing 2 catagory 2 hurricanes last year and a catagory 4/5 last century (andrew) get out of town!
There is nothing even close to the destructive power of a cat 4/5 hurricane. We've only spent the last 9 months putting our house back together after
francis and jeanne.
im sorry to hear that!!! you guys definetly needs a long break from all these hurricanes.
 

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Discussion Starter #20
Thyg0d said:
Hope everything works out..
Keeps us posted as soon you can after this blows over..
Stay safe!!

//per
thanks guys....
 
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