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What I do right now for work is a hybrid field tech / Jr. Sys Admin. I've been pursuing Application Specialist and Systems Analyst among several positions. However, circling back to my Master's Degree in IS Management w/Project Management focus, I've also been trying to seek positions within my employer that have an emphasis in Project Management, known by my employer as Business Analyst and Staff Analyst. The hurdle for me though has always been HR's application process. Each time I apply for Business Analyst, I end up qualifying, but the pool of departments hiring for this position is so small that I seldom get a call even for interview. Staff Analyst has always been more difficult for me to qualify for, and mainly because they deal more on the budgeting side of things which I have no experience in, I qualified for a Staff Analyst Trainee. The next part is waiting to hear back from a department who is seeking to fill the position and interview for them, and hopefully, get picked up by this department where I've befriended the hiring manager :). The downside to the "trainee" positions is that they have a probation period of 24mo instead of the standard 9mo. I'm confident I'll make it, but if for whatever reason I don't, I simply get bumped back to my current position I'm in now.
I get the value of working for the govt; my mom did the same for the state of TX and I understand the benefits. I also understand the stress of dealing with the pandemic as a working parent myself. You aren't alone here.

So your pay makes sense for your Jr SysAdmin type of position but it does sound like you are overeducated/qualified for that role and you recognize that.
1) Is there a way to build up your resume on the business/budgeting side without adding additional degrees (like an MBA)? Perhaps by volunteering on the financial side for your neighbhorhood HOA/non-profit/church/whatever?
Showing you can work the budgets/business side of any entity where the money isn't entirely your own would surely add to your CV.

Hell, even a side business would show that.

2) Since it sounds like your job advancement into the analyst/product mgmt position is also gated by the amount of positions available, would switching to a different beaurocracy (with more departments) be beneficial for you?
 

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Softbank, the geniuses to created a stupidly large pot of money to do things like buy ARM right after the Brexit vote (smart b/c the UKP fell by ~30% in value) and poured money into WeWork (much less smart) have been juicing the market for the FAANG stocks they own by buying a crazy number of OTM calls (showing that some people aka them expected the price to continue skyrocketing)

Yeah, that's probably not going to work out so well for them.
 

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A Tesla (apparently) went out of control in China killing and injuring several. It's a developing story. Should lead to a buying opportunity. If Ford can survive the Pinto debacle and Explorer roll overs and Exxon the Valdez disaster TSLA can survive this.

A Tesla just killed at least 20 people in China. Safe to say the stock will open lower on Tuesday.

WARNING: Graphic Footage*

 

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A Tesla (apparently) went out of control in China killing and injuring several. It's a developing story. Should lead to a buying opportunity. If Ford can survive the Pinto debacle and Explorer roll overs and Exxon the Valdez disaster TSLA can survive this.

A Tesla just killed at least 20 people in China. Safe to say the stock will open lower on Tuesday.

WARNING: Graphic Footage*

A drop is to be expected.
I do suspect TSLA will try and get ahead of this by using telemetry from the car to prove the driver was not paying attention and rear-ended other vehicles.

They did the same thing when several drivers were killed in CA 1-2 years ago
 

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we need autonomy, why?

Ford didn’t kill 20 at once last I checked.
Old people need drivers to maintain their freedom. Within our lifetimes, limo/taxi/delivery drivers will go the way of the blacksmith.

Fords have killed plenty of people. I'm not a fan of Tesla advertising their product as autopilot as it leads people to believe this nonsense about it being an autonomous vehicle (it's not). We will get there though

Here's a deadly excursion.
 

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Gonna be an interesting world where there are zero low level jobs and high population. Ford at least created jobs through the assembly line, not just up profits for big business and shareholders by reducing employee overhead and provide status symbols to the upper class.
 

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Gonna be an interesting world where there are zero low level jobs and high population. Ford at least created jobs through the assembly line, not just up profits for big business and shareholders by reducing employee overhead and provide status symbols to the upper class.
I think it comes down to if scarcity, essentially energy scarcity, comes into play. Many SF books explore this in detail.

Well, a utopian future will allow people to do other things with their time and create a flourishing of culture and arts. You see this in The Culture as envisioned by Ian M Banks. Its a post scarcity future which we clearly aren't anywhere near yet.

A distopian future may still have a universal basic income to keep the masses from rioting but in general, there will be unrest as people are idle. You see this in the world of The Expanse. This future has fusion energy but money and scarcity still exist. The chellenge in that future won't be feeding everyone but giving them something to do.
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IMO, taking away minimal skills jobs like driving will change society but I doubt it will have the impact that mechanization of farming did 120 years ago. We survived that and if we can get through the next year without a significant global population loss because of disease or war, I think we'll get through this.

One interesting side fact that has parallels with today. Part of the reason that the enlightenment happened in Europe was because so much of the population had died because of bubonic plague. This loss of life decimated the vassel system which stymied innovation throughout the middle ages.

I'm not saying that Corona virus could do this but clearly a pandemic plus a civil war in the US along racial or political lines could lead to this level of loss of life.
 

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Well that’s about as bleak as I imagined 🤣

I fear with AI it’s not going to stop at just low level careers like driving, that’s just the easy pill to swallow for devs currently working on the technology me thinks. I don’t see why AI couldn’t ultimately wipe out the bulk of white collar careers as well, it’s intelligence without the pesky human factor of morality, empathy and compassion. Every innovation that ends a type of career tends to transfer a means elsewhere, blacksmithing went away in the Wild West sense of the word, but the automobile and mass production just shifted it from making horse shoes, buggy springs and stuff to mechanic jobs repairing cars, or manufacturing various parts in a factory. AI doesn’t have that promise, there’s no reason intelligent robots couldn’t repair or create other products, including more artificially intelligent robots, and where does that leave us? What is the sales pitch to the common man? Cheaper iPhones?


I haven’t been too confident in seeing what society would predictably do in having nothing to do for the last six months. This idea of us becoming a culture of arts is a futurist pipe dream as far as I’m concerned, because frankly we’re just barely more evolved as a species from gorillas with clubs, and most people just aren’t that talented in the narrow band of painting pictures or making music. Scarcity will always exist, someone’s always going to live in a better home with a better view in a better climate(I don’t suppose UBI will eliminate the upper class who currently have that, will it?), and beyond possessions, entertaining the notion of an arts and culture utopia, someone’s going to make better art than the next person, and will sow the inevitable seeds of jealousy and resentment.

Sorry, Luddite rant, I’ll see myself out lol
 

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Gonna be an interesting world where there are zero low level jobs and high population. Ford at least created jobs through the assembly line, not just up profits for big business and shareholders by reducing employee overhead and provide status symbols to the upper class.
The times they are a changin’. Yes, this is why universal basic income is going to become so important. Some will scream socialism; but what’s the alternative? The education system needs a serious overhaul. That would be a good start. Betsy Devos sure as hell isn’t the answer.
 
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Discussion Starter #551
All this talk about AI gets me thinking back to what movies reference as Science Fiction eventually becomes Science Fact. When it comes specifically to AI, I think of Terminator and Judgement Day.

 

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As far as AI movies go, I'm a fan of Ex Machina. Now, that was an amazing movie! If you haven't seen it I highly recommend it.

The promises and peril of AI are both astounding and frightening.

 
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The times they are a changin’. Yes, this is why universal basic income is going to become so important. Some will scream socialism; but what’s the alternative? The education system needs a serious overhaul. That would be a good start. Betsy Devos sure as hell isn’t the answer.

The alternative is to stop going down this path as if it’s the futurist’s manifest destiny🤷‍♂️. I just don’t see the benefit to humanity, and refuse to support anything related to the development of AI. We think wealth inequality is bad now, I see it getting much worse when all development of AI is being created to obsolete or cheapen labor, education will be useless if there aren’t any careers to waste all that money pursuing (which is a problem with higher education as is). It’ll just be the Musks, Zucks and Bezos’ of the world having all the wealth and power with a workforce of AI robots, and we get the products and crumbs of income and warship them like gods for it, is that it?

I really hope I die before any of this comes to fruition, this is a far worse future for the children and children’s children than literally every environmental cause has been trying to prevent.

Ex Machina is pretty good, even if it is effectively a rip-off of Blade Runner and Frankenstein 😁
 

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Humanity's survival will be dependent on the availability of resources - Clean Air, Food, Water .. and the ability to transport from one place to another.

Artificial Intelligence is a means to improve quality of life, not sustain it.

All of the technology in the world still relies on the ability to pull minerals out of the earth and refine them into workable materials. Computers are going to be obsolete when there is no more gold. Mining operations are the backbone of the industrial revolution, and when the earth runs out .. space exploration.

Even if the AI becomes self aware and Terminates all of humanity, the machines will need to repurpose themselves after their mission is accomplished - find more materials to build more machines to make the machines .. when they run out of materials, the machines will fight amongst themselves over priority and the AI will self implode.
 

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1) a post scarcity world could exist if we are able to better harness energy. If we were able to harness fusion in something other than a bomb, we would be able to kick the can down the road for another generation (cheap energy would make is so oil would only be used for plastics - about 4% of oil production)

2) I don't think the world will become an art utopia in my lifetime or my son's lifetime. Even with limitless energy, we still need supplies to make stuff people want. I think things will follow the path of materials exploration and refinement that dan mentioned earlier.
3) my son is 5 now and if I was to nudge him into one field or another, I suspect it will be towards genetics and biologics or nano materials. I suspect these will be much more realistic growth fields in 15 years than say AI.
 

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Not sure if you knew of this or not, but a test fusion reactor, the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER), is currently being constructed. Energy from fusion isn't as far off as one might imagine.

It's scheduled to go online in 2025.

 

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Not sure if you knew of this or not, but a test fusion reactor, the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER), is currently being constructed. Energy from fusion isn't as far off as one might imagine.

It's scheduled to go online in 2025.

I knew they were still working on hot fusion. It will be interesting to see if this research reactor will actually produce more energy than it takes as input.

If so, you might want to start HODLing heavy water :)
 

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TSLA down 21% to $330 ish. Still crazy high.

One article I found intersting: Model 3 bucks the trend on depreciation vs other electric vehicles. Loses 10% of its value after 36 mos vs 52% with other EVs.

Reasoning: historically high used prices now, tiny supply of used model 3s (I wonder if this is similar to niche cars like luxury wagons - example Volvo V90 wagon - there simply arent enough used ones out there that the pricing can stay high. Owners tend to keep them for longer).
 
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